Tetrahydrocannabinol für die Allgemeinheit! "Mein Weed" - Nikitaman
Mott Athletics Center · December 17, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CP -5.5 Away covered
O/U 128.5 Under
Money CP -213 / WEB +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total CP win
Actual WEB +29 119 Lost
Massey CP -13.4 (-42.4) — —
Massey Totals — 124.5 (-5.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CP -7.2 (-36.2) 124.8 (-5.8) 75% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CP -10.8 (-39.8) 131.8 (-12.8) 83% ✗
Baseline ML CP -10.9 (-39.9) 132.0 (-13.0) 81% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CP -10.2 (-39.2) 129.2 (-10.2) 81% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 10, 2023 WEB 78 – 50 CP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CP WEB
Overall 8-25 18-15
Conference 1-18 12-6
Home 6-11 8-4
Away 1-13 8-8
Neutral 1-1 2-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 59.4 66.3
Avg Pts Against 66.3 67.9
Massey -0.2 (#186) -8.5 (#313)
Bradley-Terry -0.16 (#194) -1.74 (#309)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.07 (#176) -2.30 (#308)
RPI 0.483 (#202) 0.389 (#330)
Shooting & Four Factors CP WEB
FG% 42.9% 39.8%
3PT% 33.8% 28.5%
REB / G 31.8 28.1
OREB / G 7.8 6.5
AST / TO 0.65 0.64
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 46.0%
TOV% 21.1% 22.3%
ORB% 24.2% 20.2%
FT Rate 26.0% 31.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 58.8%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 19.2%
DRB% 75.6% 75.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.7% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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