Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | RID -700 STO +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | RID -11.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -7.1 (+9.9) | 143.2 (-14.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -6.4 (+10.6) | 141.7 (-12.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -6.0 (+11.0) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -6.5 (+10.5) | 144.4 (-15.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | RID 78 – 67 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 4-8 |
| Away | 6-12 | 0-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#332) | -16.4 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.01 (#360) | -2.66 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.70 (#360) | -3.67 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.342 (#358) | 0.401 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 21.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.4% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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