Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | STO +150 RID -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | STO -1.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -0.6 (-11.6) | 146.0 (-1.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -2.4 (-13.4) | 147.2 (-2.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STO -2.7 (-13.7) | 147.5 (-2.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -1.5 (-12.5) | 148.3 (-3.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | RID 73 – 56 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#272) | -1.4 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#241) | -0.59 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#261) | -0.92 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#145) | 0.433 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 18.6% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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