Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | MONM +100 NIU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -3.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -3.0 (-0.0) | 156.0 (-11.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -4.1 (-1.1) | 152.6 (-7.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -3.8 (-0.8) | 151.3 (-6.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -2.1 (+0.9) | 155.5 (-10.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | NIU 79 – 66 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#178) | 1.8 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#108) | 1.79 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#107) | 2.21 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#144) | 0.617 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 11.5% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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