Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +125 MONM -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NIU -20.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -10.3 (+2.7) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -10.2 (+2.8) | 143.8 (+1.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | MONM 74 – 71 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-2 |
| Away | 1-15 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#201) | -10.6 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#255) | -1.30 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#267) | -1.93 (#319) |
| RPI | — | 0.417 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 30.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 36.7% |
| TOV% | 25.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.4% | 34.1% |
Game Analysis
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