Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | GT -4000 AAMU +1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +21 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | GT -18.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -14.5 (+6.5) | 145.7 (-26.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -14.6 (+6.4) | 146.5 (-27.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -13.1 (+7.9) | 147.0 (-28.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -14.7 (+6.3) | 146.0 (-27.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2024 | GT 92 – 49 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#171) | -13.2 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#117) | -1.33 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#80) | -1.75 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#110) | 0.383 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 25.2% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 40.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 34.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 36.6% |
Game Analysis
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