The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Moody Center · December 9, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -33.0 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +27 127 Won
Massey TEX -27.9 (-0.9)
Massey Totals 155.1 (-28.1)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -26.2 (+0.8) 149.5 (-22.5) 91%
Baseline ML TEX -24.7 (+2.3) 150.4 (-23.4) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -22.4 (+4.6) 149.1 (-22.1) 91%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -26.4 (+0.6) 151.1 (-24.1) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 9, 2024 TEX 9059 HCU
Nov 11, 2022 TEX 8231 HCU
Nov 10, 2021 TEX 9248 HCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX HCU
Overall 21-13 6-23
Conference 9-9 4-14
Home 14-4 5-8
Away 4-6 1-15
Neutral 3-3 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 75.4 69.3
Avg Pts Against 68.9 84.8
Massey 8.0 (#55) -14.4 (#352)
Bradley-Terry 1.42 (#71) -4.43 (#362)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.07 (#67) -6.01 (#361)
RPI 0.576 (#72) 0.361 (#348)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX HCU
FG% 49.3% 42.2%
3PT% 35.4% 20.7%
REB / G 36.8 36.5
OREB / G 10.5 10.7
AST / TO 1.40 0.61
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.1% 44.7%
TOV% 17.3% 21.8%
ORB% 31.5% 26.4%
FT Rate 22.6% 20.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.1% 55.1%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 14.1%
DRB% 71.4% 67.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.1% 20.6%

Game Analysis

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