Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -37.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | TEX -20000 HCU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +51 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -13.7 (+37.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -13.5 (+37.5) | 137.5 (-24.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -11.0 (+40.0) | 139.7 (-26.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | TEX 90 – 59 HCU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | TEX 77 – 50 HCU |
| Nov 10, 2021 | TEX 92 – 48 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 17-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 85.0 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#146) | 1.4 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#121) | -0.36 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#88) | -0.49 (#179) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.8% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 52.2% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 29.6% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 52.4% | 6.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 12.1% |
Game Analysis
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