Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | GW -5000 COPP +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +31 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | GW -26.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -19.4 (+11.6) | 139.4 (-18.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -18.9 (+12.1) | 140.1 (-19.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -20.5 (+10.5) | 138.6 (-17.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -21.2 (+9.8) | 140.5 (-19.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2022 | GW 83 – 71 COPP |
| Dec 8, 2021 | GW 75 – 62 COPP |
| Dec 5, 2020 | GW 85 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 1-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 2-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#103) | -16.2 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#51) | -3.32 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#45) | -4.21 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#52) | 0.312 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 27.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 58.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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