Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | GW -275 COPP +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | GW -7.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -6.3 (+5.7) | 153.6 (+0.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -6.4 (+5.6) | 159.0 (-5.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -6.4 (+5.6) | 158.5 (-4.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -6.9 (+5.1) | 155.9 (-1.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | GW 76 – 45 COPP |
| Dec 8, 2021 | GW 75 – 62 COPP |
| Dec 5, 2020 | GW 85 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#218) | -4.5 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#266) | 0.00 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#269) | -0.28 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#282) | 0.523 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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