Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | GW -5.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -2.6 (+10.4) | 145.0 (-8.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -3.0 (+10.0) | 139.2 (-2.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -3.5 (+9.5) | 139.4 (-2.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -3.2 (+9.8) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | GW 76 – 45 COPP |
| Dec 13, 2022 | GW 83 – 71 COPP |
| Dec 5, 2020 | GW 85 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 6-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 3-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#274) | -6.4 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#305) | -1.82 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#292) | -1.88 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#328) | 0.442 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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