Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | GW -650 COPP +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | GW -11.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -6.0 (+10.0) | 146.9 (+7.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -6.5 (+9.5) | 147.8 (+6.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -7.1 (+8.9) | 149.8 (+4.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | GW 76 – 45 COPP |
| Dec 13, 2022 | GW 83 – 71 COPP |
| Dec 8, 2021 | GW 75 – 62 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#144) | -2.6 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#236) | -1.12 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#229) | -1.79 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#191) | 0.250 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 32.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 10.5% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 28.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 57.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.2% | 6.2% |
Game Analysis
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