Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -32.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +45 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -33.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -27.4 (+17.6) | 147.4 (+25.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -23.8 (+21.2) | 144.6 (+28.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -27.4 (+17.6) | 144.7 (+28.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -28.4 (+16.6) | 141.4 (+31.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 19.6 (#5) | -8.6 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#18) | -0.93 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.63 (#14) | -1.88 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.638 (#22) | 0.476 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.