Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | JXST +100 UIC -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +6 | 104 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -2.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -0.4 (-6.4) | 124.6 (-20.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -0.2 (-5.8) | 125.4 (-21.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -1.6 (-4.4) | 124.8 (-20.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -1.8 (-4.2) | 125.8 (-21.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | UIC 67 – 60 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 8-7 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#188) | 7.4 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#242) | 1.27 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#218) | 2.46 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#296) | 0.612 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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