Betting Lines
| Spread | BUT -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | BUT -430 CAL +328 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUT +7 | 187 | Won |
| Massey | BUT -18.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUT -14.8 (-7.8) | 152.8 (+34.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -14.7 (-7.7) | 151.5 (+35.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -15.6 (-8.6) | 152.8 (+34.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -16.3 (-9.3) | 151.5 (+35.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | BUT 82 – 58 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUT | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#41) | -2.6 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#87) | -1.57 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#82) | -1.58 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#74) | 0.438 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUT | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.