Betting Lines
| Spread | BUT -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.0 Over |
| Money | CAL +328 BUT -430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUT +24 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | BUT -10.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUT -9.7 (-14.3) | 128.2 (+11.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -9.1 (-14.9) | 129.4 (+10.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -9.0 (-15.0) | 129.7 (+10.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -8.9 (-15.1) | 129.3 (+10.7) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | BUT 97 – 90 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 6-14 |
| Home | 3-14 | 10-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L16 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#300) | 8.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.17 (#358) | 1.10 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.35 (#357) | 1.50 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#313) | 0.573 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 11.6% |
Game Analysis
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