Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ME -250 CCSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +13 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | ME -10.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -7.8 (+5.2) | 131.9 (-6.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -8.0 (+5.0) | 132.7 (-7.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -8.8 (+4.2) | 132.9 (-7.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -8.3 (+4.7) | 132.9 (-7.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2022 | ME 66 – 58 CCSU |
| Nov 24, 2021 | CCSU 64 – 56 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#161) | -4.9 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#179) | -1.26 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#182) | -1.63 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#240) | 0.426 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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