I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
Cross Insurance Center · November 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ME -5.5 Away covered
O/U 127.0 Under
Money ME -220 / CCSU +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total ME win
Actual CCSU +8 120 Lost
Massey ME -6.1 (-14.1) — —
Massey Totals — 134.0 (-14.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ME -3.2 (-11.2) 130.9 (-10.9) 44% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ME -4.0 (-12.0) 137.0 (-17.0) 66% ✗
Baseline ML ME -4.3 (-12.3) 136.8 (-16.8) 50% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ME -3.0 (-11.0) 131.7 (-11.7) 42% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 9, 2023 ME 69 – 56 CCSU
Nov 23, 2022 ME 66 – 58 CCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ME CCSU
Overall 6-23 8-24
Conference 3-15 5-13
Home 5-9 5-7
Away 1-14 4-15
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 0-2 0-5
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 60.7 61.8
Avg Pts Against 73.8 72.1
Massey -15.0 (#351) -13.8 (#347)
Bradley-Terry -0.75 (#231) -2.16 (#328)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.57 (#254) -3.12 (#323)
RPI 0.526 (#141) 0.372 (#316)
Shooting & Four Factors ME CCSU
FG% 32.7% 38.1%
3PT% 20.9% 33.6%
REB / G 30.0 29.2
OREB / G 8.5 8.8
AST / TO 0.50 0.59
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 36.8% 44.9%
TOV% 26.2% 24.0%
ORB% 22.4% 25.3%
FT Rate 10.9% 18.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 60.2% 57.2%
Opp TOV% 13.2% 17.8%
DRB% 67.2% 63.4%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 21.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.