They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Detrick Gymnasium · November 23, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CCSU -0.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money CCSU +100 / ME +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCSU win
Actual ME +8 124 Lost
Massey ME -2.2 (-5.8) — —
Massey Totals — 153.6 (-29.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 4% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 0% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ME -1.9 (-6.1) 145.8 (-21.8) 44% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ME -2.1 (-5.9) 148.3 (-24.3) 34% ✓
Baseline ML ME -2.7 (-5.3) 150.0 (-26.0) 34% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ME -2.5 (-5.5) 146.9 (-22.9) 37% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 9, 2023 ME 69 – 56 CCSU
Nov 24, 2021 CCSU 64 – 56 ME

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CCSU ME
Overall 10-22 13-17
Conference 7-9 7-9
Home 6-7 8-4
Away 4-14 5-12
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 0-5 2-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 66.0 66.5
Avg Pts Against 70.2 70.7
Massey -6.8 (#293) 2.7 (#129)
Bradley-Terry -2.99 (#351) 1.86 (#54)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.74 (#353) 2.66 (#62)
RPI 0.407 (#280) 0.602 (#65)
Shooting & Four Factors CCSU ME
FG% 42.7% 51.5%
3PT% 35.3% 44.4%
REB / G 30.2 31.3
OREB / G 7.2 6.7
AST / TO 1.22 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 59.8%
TOV% 16.0% 16.8%
ORB% 21.1% 22.2%
FT Rate 13.7% 15.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.6% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 16.4%
DRB% 70.6% 66.1%
Opp FT Rate 16.9% 17.9%

Game Analysis

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