Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -150 COLG +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -7.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -7.2 (-13.2) | 130.7 (+17.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -5.5 (-11.5) | 131.0 (+17.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -5.7 (-11.7) | 131.6 (+16.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -6.1 (-12.1) | 131.7 (+16.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | COLG 65 – 60 UVM |
| Dec 10, 2022 | UVM 73 – 72 COLG |
| Dec 22, 2021 | UVM 78 – 68 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 16-2 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 10-4 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#127) | 1.0 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#52) | -0.12 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#61) | -0.49 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#66) | 0.500 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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