Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -340 COLG +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -8.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -7.2 (+2.8) | 136.8 (+9.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -7.4 (+2.6) | 138.2 (+7.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -7.1 (+2.9) | 136.5 (+9.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -7.8 (+2.2) | 135.6 (+10.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | COLG 65 – 60 UVM |
| Dec 9, 2023 | COLG 77 – 71 UVM |
| Dec 10, 2022 | UVM 73 – 72 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 16-2 |
| Home | 16-0 | 15-1 |
| Away | 10-4 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#99) | 1.0 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#86) | -0.74 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#82) | -0.68 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#79) | 0.460 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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