I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Island FCU Arena · December 9, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread STBK -0.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money STBK +100 / BRY +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total STBK win
Actual STBK +11 161 Won
Massey BRY -0.4 (+11.4) — —
Massey Totals — 132.7 (+28.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 24% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 16% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BRY -0.8 (+11.8) 140.3 (+20.7) 58% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BRY -0.1 (+11.1) 134.1 (+26.9) 45% ✗
Baseline ML BRY -0.1 (+11.1) 133.6 (+27.4) 55% ✓
Baseline Plus ML STBK -0.7 (+10.3) 139.1 (+21.9) 55% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 9, 2022 BRY 79 – 60 STBK
Dec 11, 2021 STBK 86 – 78 BRY
Dec 12, 2020 BRY 81 – 72 STBK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STBK BRY
Overall 20-15 20-13
Conference 10-8 11-5
Home 13-3 11-3
Away 4-11 8-10
Neutral 3-1 1-0
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.0 75.8
Avg Pts Against 73.0 75.3
Massey -6.4 (#293) -0.4 (#180)
Bradley-Terry -2.31 (#329) 0.11 (#172)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.71 (#312) 0.41 (#156)
RPI 0.394 (#324) 0.482 (#200)
Shooting & Four Factors STBK BRY
FG% 40.3% 40.7%
3PT% 31.3% 30.3%
REB / G 36.4 36.6
OREB / G 11.3 7.1
AST / TO 0.90 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.5% 46.9%
TOV% 17.3% 16.7%
ORB% 29.6% 18.3%
FT Rate 18.1% 16.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 41.9%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 16.4%
DRB% 66.4% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 14.1% 22.5%

Game Analysis

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