Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -800 STBK +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +19 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -22.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -15.1 (+3.9) | 144.2 (-5.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -14.6 (+4.4) | 147.4 (-8.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -16.6 (+2.4) | 149.1 (-10.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -17.4 (+1.6) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | STBK 86 – 75 BRY |
| Dec 11, 2021 | STBK 86 – 78 BRY |
| Dec 12, 2020 | BRY 81 – 72 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#154) | -15.7 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#124) | -3.49 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#171) | -5.19 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#85) | 0.322 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 5.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 15.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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