Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -280 STBK +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +9 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -25.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -18.2 (-9.2) | 157.6 (-4.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -20.2 (-11.2) | 158.7 (-5.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -18.2 (-9.2) | 159.0 (-6.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | STBK 86 – 75 BRY |
| Dec 9, 2022 | BRY 79 – 60 STBK |
| Dec 11, 2021 | STBK 86 – 78 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 9-14 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-1 | 5-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#36) | -8.6 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#117) | -1.78 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#104) | -3.19 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#184) | 0.325 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 42.2% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 43.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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