Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | STBK -230 BRY +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +8 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -8.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -4.5 (+3.5) | 148.9 (+15.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -6.7 (+1.3) | 145.0 (+19.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -7.2 (+0.8) | 145.0 (+19.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -6.9 (+1.1) | 145.3 (+18.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | STBK 86 – 75 BRY |
| Dec 9, 2022 | BRY 79 – 60 STBK |
| Dec 12, 2020 | BRY 81 – 72 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#221) | -6.1 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#168) | -0.78 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#173) | -0.64 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#181) | 0.465 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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