Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -34.0 Push |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +34 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -31.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -28.0 (+6.0) | 130.9 (+13.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -24.9 (+9.1) | 131.8 (+12.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -30.0 (+4.0) | 132.5 (+11.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -31.5 (+2.5) | 129.3 (+14.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | HOU 80 – 38 JKST |
| Nov 5, 2024 | HOU 97 – 40 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-5 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-0 | 6-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-13 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.6 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 20.9 (#3) | -5.4 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#4) | -0.27 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.53 (#5) | -1.24 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#13) | 0.506 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 39.8% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.7% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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