Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -40.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +42 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -36.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -27.8 (+14.2) | 138.1 (-20.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -25.1 (+16.9) | 135.0 (-17.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -34.7 (+7.3) | 137.9 (-19.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -36.6 (+5.4) | 137.5 (-19.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | HOU 97 – 40 JKST |
| Dec 9, 2023 | HOU 89 – 55 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-3 |
| Away | 6-3 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 83.8 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#27) | -17.1 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#21) | -1.44 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.97 (#27) | -2.27 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#23) | 0.474 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 36.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 56.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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