Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | DAV -1100 M-OH +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -11.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -11.7 (+6.3) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -9.0 (+9.0) | 141.6 (-1.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -9.3 (+8.7) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -9.6 (+8.4) | 138.2 (+1.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#126) | -3.4 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#91) | -0.63 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#94) | -1.03 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#104) | 0.476 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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