Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | WMU +185 YSU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -4.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -4.2 (+0.2) | 138.7 (+1.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -4.0 (+0.0) | 139.6 (+0.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -3.4 (-0.6) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -6.9 (+2.9) | 138.0 (+2.0) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | WMU 73 – 62 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#296) | 3.7 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#314) | 1.33 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#318) | 1.62 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#289) | 0.567 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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