Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -480 WMU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -9.9 (-20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -6.7 (-17.7) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -7.4 (-18.4) | 139.5 (-4.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -6.4 (-17.4) | 139.3 (-4.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -8.0 (-19.0) | 141.0 (-6.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | YSU 72 – 68 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#252) | -8.3 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#277) | -3.10 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#282) | -4.64 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#303) | 0.324 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.3% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 24.8% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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