Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UNF -120 GASO +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -12.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (-38.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -9.7 (-1.7) | 149.4 (-29.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -10.6 (-2.6) | 149.6 (-29.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -9.8 (-1.8) | 150.3 (-30.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -8.1 (-0.1) | 145.8 (-25.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | GASO 93 – 91 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#301) | -14.3 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#300) | -3.06 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#300) | -3.91 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#331) | 0.353 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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