Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -110 WOF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +8 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -4.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -5.3 (-2.7) | 158.5 (+9.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -3.1 (-4.9) | 153.7 (+14.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.7 (-4.3) | 153.9 (+14.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -3.2 (-4.8) | 158.2 (+9.8) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | WOF 71 – 61 CCU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | CCU 60 – 59 WOF |
| Dec 15, 2020 | WOF 88 – 77 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-11 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#331) | -0.1 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#336) | 0.10 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.87 (#344) | 0.23 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#350) | 0.488 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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