This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · December 7, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WOF -6.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money WOF -250 / CCU +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total WOF win
Actual WOF +10 132 Won
Massey WOF -12.3 (-2.3) — —
Massey Totals — 139.9 (-7.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 62% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WOF -8.2 (+1.8) 135.1 (-3.1) 74% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WOF -9.3 (+0.7) 139.0 (-7.0) 80% ✓
Baseline ML WOF -9.4 (+0.6) 138.5 (-6.5) 81% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WOF -8.8 (+1.2) 137.1 (-5.1) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 9, 2023 WOF 88 – 80 CCU
Dec 12, 2021 CCU 60 – 59 WOF
Dec 15, 2020 WOF 88 – 77 CCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WOF CCU
Overall 17-16 11-20
Conference 8-10 5-13
Home 12-4 8-8
Away 4-11 3-11
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 72.3 70.1
Avg Pts Against 74.0 77.3
Massey 0.9 (#169) -6.0 (#283)
Bradley-Terry -0.14 (#190) 0.30 (#156)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.18 (#168) 0.94 (#124)
RPI 0.484 (#201) 0.491 (#194)
Shooting & Four Factors WOF CCU
FG% 44.5% 40.5%
3PT% 34.4% 26.4%
REB / G 30.0 39.2
OREB / G 8.6 12.8
AST / TO 1.20 0.61
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 44.8%
TOV% 15.8% 22.9%
ORB% 27.6% 37.0%
FT Rate 25.3% 31.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.4% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 16.0%
DRB% 75.4% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 14.8% 11.5%

Game Analysis

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