Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +1 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -0.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.2 (+1.2) | 136.9 (-17.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -1.7 (-0.7) | 142.8 (-23.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -0.7 (+0.3) | 142.8 (-23.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -0.8 (+0.2) | 141.0 (-22.0) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | WOF 88 – 80 CCU |
| Dec 7, 2022 | WOF 71 – 61 CCU |
| Dec 15, 2020 | WOF 88 – 77 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#193) | 4.9 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#199) | 0.55 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#196) | 0.61 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#200) | 0.518 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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