Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | WOF -260 CCU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -5.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -2.9 (+8.1) | 138.6 (+26.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -2.7 (+8.3) | 137.0 (+28.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -4.0 (+7.0) | 137.7 (+27.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | WOF 88 – 80 CCU |
| Dec 7, 2022 | WOF 71 – 61 CCU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | CCU 60 – 59 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#146) | 1.4 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#255) | 0.88 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#235) | 1.40 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#256) | 0.550 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 46.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 27.9% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 10.0% | 40.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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