Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -480 WIS +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +25 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -17.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -14.6 (+10.4) | 145.2 (+25.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -14.1 (+10.9) | 148.1 (+22.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -14.5 (+10.5) | 149.5 (+21.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -12.8 (+12.2) | 143.9 (+27.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | WIS 103 – 88 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 24.6 (#1) | 12.4 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#15) | 2.28 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.66 (#12) | 3.60 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#23) | 0.598 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 47.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 41.6% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 82.7% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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