Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WIS +165 ARIZ -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +15 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -2.6 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+45.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -4.9 (+10.1) | 149.3 (+41.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.9 (+13.1) | 144.7 (+46.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -0.7 (+14.3) | 145.6 (+45.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.4 (+12.6) | 154.0 (+37.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | ARIZ 98 – 73 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#64) | 17.6 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#97) | 0.35 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#95) | 0.50 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#154) | 0.417 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 51.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 20.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 2.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 51.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 79.2% | 81.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.