Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN +110 SYR -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | GTWN -1.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -2.7 (-14.7) | 150.5 (-2.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -2.4 (-14.4) | 147.5 (+0.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -2.4 (-14.4) | 147.1 (+0.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -1.0 (-13.0) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | GTWN 75 – 71 SYR |
| Dec 10, 2022 | SYR 83 – 64 GTWN |
| Dec 11, 2021 | GTWN 79 – 75 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2021 | SYR 74 – 69 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-12 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#191) | 3.3 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#249) | 1.41 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#201) | 2.09 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#282) | 0.620 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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