Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -350 GTWN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -10.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -7.2 (+11.8) | 146.7 (+0.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -7.3 (+11.7) | 145.2 (+1.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -7.0 (+12.0) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -8.4 (+10.6) | 148.0 (-1.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | GTWN 75 – 71 SYR |
| Dec 9, 2023 | SYR 80 – 68 GTWN |
| Dec 11, 2021 | GTWN 79 – 75 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2021 | SYR 74 – 69 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 11-7 | 5-12 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#141) | -2.9 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#181) | -0.36 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#214) | -0.36 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#153) | 0.495 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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