Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | SYR -550 GTWN +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -15.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -11.9 (-6.9) | 150.6 (-7.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -14.3 (-9.3) | 147.8 (-4.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -15.4 (-10.4) | 148.3 (-5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -15.5 (-10.5) | 149.8 (-6.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | GTWN 75 – 71 SYR |
| Dec 9, 2023 | SYR 80 – 68 GTWN |
| Dec 10, 2022 | SYR 83 – 64 GTWN |
| Dec 11, 2021 | GTWN 79 – 75 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#23) | 0.8 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#70) | -0.04 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#71) | 0.21 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#55) | 0.475 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 43.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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