Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN +150 SYR -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -0.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -2.9 (+1.1) | 160.1 (-6.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -2.7 (+1.3) | 160.8 (-6.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -2.7 (+1.3) | 158.8 (-4.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -2.1 (+1.9) | 160.5 (-6.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | GTWN 75 – 71 SYR |
| Dec 9, 2023 | SYR 80 – 68 GTWN |
| Dec 10, 2022 | SYR 83 – 64 GTWN |
| Jan 10, 2021 | SYR 74 – 69 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 0-19 | 9-11 |
| Home | 6-11 | 11-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L21 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#184) | 3.6 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#247) | 0.71 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#239) | 0.48 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#250) | 0.549 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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