Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -105 GTWN -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -1.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -3.5 (-7.5) | 151.2 (-5.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -2.1 (-6.1) | 148.3 (-2.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.3 (-5.3) | 148.8 (-2.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -1.9 (-5.9) | 152.9 (-6.9) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | SYR 80 – 68 GTWN |
| Dec 10, 2022 | SYR 83 – 64 GTWN |
| Dec 11, 2021 | GTWN 79 – 75 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2021 | SYR 74 – 69 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#125) | 5.4 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#157) | 0.76 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#141) | 0.65 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#126) | 0.552 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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