Betting Lines
| Spread | SJSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU -600 UNO +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +5 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | SJSU -15.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJSU -15.3 (-10.3) | 146.8 (+22.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -12.0 (-7.0) | 146.0 (+23.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -12.6 (-7.6) | 146.2 (+22.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJSU -13.1 (-8.1) | 146.4 (+22.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-9 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 81.6 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#141) | -8.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#197) | -1.42 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#203) | -1.90 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#254) | 0.405 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.