Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -400 SCU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +17 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -11.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -8.1 (+8.9) | 149.9 (+19.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -9.8 (+7.2) | 148.3 (+20.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -9.7 (+7.3) | 147.7 (+21.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -10.2 (+6.8) | 150.5 (+18.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | UNM 98 – 71 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#20) | 1.7 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#56) | 1.16 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#70) | 1.27 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#77) | 0.547 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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