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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.8
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern Kentucky
@
UNC Greensboro
|
+12.0 | 143.7 | 84% | 85–87 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Iowa State
|
+9.4 | 151.1 | 82% | 65–90 | ✓ |
Little Rock
@
Central Arkansas
|
-5.8 | 157.7 | 41% | 71–75 | ✗ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Eastern Illinois
|
+10.1 | 131.4 | 83% | 58–75 | ✓ |
Portland
@
North Dakota State
|
+4.4 | 147.1 | 67% | 67–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.