Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -225 IUIN +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +17 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -14.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -10.1 (+6.9) | 131.4 (+1.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -10.1 (+6.9) | 133.0 (+0.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -10.5 (+6.5) | 132.7 (+0.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -9.8 (+7.2) | 131.2 (+1.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | EIU 70 – 59 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-6 | 4-10 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#281) | -14.4 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#281) | -2.13 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#292) | -3.10 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#253) | 0.392 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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