Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +120 EIU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +11 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | IUIN -1.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IUIN -2.0 (-13.0) | 134.1 (-5.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IUIN -1.8 (-12.8) | 134.7 (-5.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IUIN -2.1 (-13.1) | 137.1 (-8.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -0.4 (-10.6) | 136.5 (-7.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2023 | EIU 75 – 58 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-9 | 6-9 |
| Away | 0-15 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -17.6 (#360) | -14.0 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#356) | -4.49 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.78 (#356) | -6.49 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.334 (#358) | 0.300 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 27.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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