Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–17 on winners spread MAE 9.2 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Long Island University @ Miami +21.3 151.5 90% 49–97 ✓
Penn State @ Maryland +3.8 134.5 75% 75–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ Presbyterian +11.5 141.1 79% 65–60 ✗
Campbell @ Davidson +12.0 128.9 84% 50–62 ✓
Wofford @ Gardner-Webb +5.4 149.9 70% 81–66 ✗
Valparaiso @ Central Michigan +2.5 139.6 64% 67–71 ✓
Bryant @ Siena -9.4 133.3 20% 67–51 ✓
Robert Morris @ Canisius +8.6 142.2 81% 80–87 ✓
Vermont @ Northeastern -0.9 136.0 43% 73–71 ✓
Wagner @ Coppin State -5.5 124.7 26% 62–59 ✓
NJIT @ Fordham +16.8 143.0 88% 80–77 ✗
Youngstown State @ Ohio +4.2 151.6 61% 78–72 ✗
Ball State @ Detroit Mercy -1.9 128.4 32% 68–65 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ NC State +20.7 149.3 90% 61–93 ✓
Old Dominion @ William & Mary +1.4 150.0 60% 79–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Marshall -4.6 151.3 31% 85–72 ✓
Hofstra @ Iona +0.2 148.6 43% 62–57 ✗
Massachusetts @ Towson -5.6 132.1 33% 71–81 ✗
Sacred Heart @ St. John's +16.4 151.1 88% 50–85 ✓
Toledo @ Oakland +2.2 147.9 62% 69–68 ✗
Brown @ Rhode Island +3.8 140.1 47% 67–64 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Ohio State +22.2 145.0 90% 64–84 ✓
Maine @ Boston University +2.4 131.3 55% 74–65 ✗
American University @ Saint Joseph's +13.3 142.9 85% 53–69 ✓
Fairfield @ Yale +14.0 149.6 83% 75–71 ✗
Memphis @ VCU +2.5 142.0 60% 85–80 ✗
Jacksonville @ UCF +15.1 144.6 88% 52–94 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Niagara -6.7 137.5 24% 94–60 ✓
New Hampshire @ Dartmouth -5.3 139.2 32% 64–76 ✗
Rice @ Houston +23.8 128.0 90% 39–75 ✓
Texas @ Marquette +11.0 144.1 82% 65–86 ✓
South Carolina @ Clemson +9.6 134.4 80% 67–72 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +8.5 144.6 68% 76–74 ✗
Milwaukee @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +9.7 136.2 79% 71–75 ✓
San Francisco @ Vanderbilt -6.7 132.7 29% 73–60 ✓
Saint Louis @ Drake +13.5 149.2 87% 69–75 ✓
Green Bay @ SIU Edwardsville +5.5 128.7 76% 69–78 ✓
Richmond @ Northern Iowa -2.6 144.6 48% 73–78 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Southern Indiana -8.4 142.6 18% 70–57 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Abilene Christian +5.3 137.4 69% 78–76 ✗
Omaha @ Texas Tech +15.8 143.2 88% 58–87 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Illinois State +2.1 133.6 58% 59–62 ✓
Lipscomb @ Belmont +3.3 158.7 67% 71–72 ✓
Denver @ Colorado State +16.7 155.0 89% 80–90 ✓
DePaul @ Texas A&M +20.3 146.1 90% 64–89 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ New Mexico +14.9 152.9 86% 61–84 ✓
Nebraska @ Minnesota +0.5 144.8 60% 65–76 ✓
San Diego @ Utah State +16.7 140.0 88% 81–108 ✓
UC Davis @ Nevada +17.5 142.1 89% 68–80 ✓
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia -4.5 140.4 33% 80–63 ✓
SMU @ Arizona State +3.9 138.5 70% 74–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Washington State +14.5 135.6 86% 49–86 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Pepperdine +5.8 136.4 70% 60–55 ✗
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +8.1 135.8 71% 72–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.