Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -1600 SLU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -18.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -13.5 (-7.5) | 149.2 (-5.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -14.4 (-8.4) | 153.7 (-9.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -16.0 (-10.0) | 153.0 (-9.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -16.4 (-10.4) | 152.2 (-8.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | SLU 83 – 75 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 16-0 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#66) | -6.3 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#53) | 0.23 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#79) | 0.53 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#48) | 0.491 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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