Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -200 DRKE +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -6.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -5.8 (+2.2) | 141.8 (+16.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -5.8 (+2.2) | 142.7 (+15.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -6.0 (+2.0) | 142.6 (+15.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -6.0 (+2.0) | 144.8 (+13.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | DRKE 75 – 69 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#95) | 2.7 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#79) | 1.26 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#83) | 1.45 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#46) | 0.583 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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